{"id":25521,"date":"2026-09-24T10:00:38","date_gmt":"2026-09-24T01:00:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/?p=25521"},"modified":"2026-09-24T11:33:53","modified_gmt":"2026-09-24T02:33:53","slug":"%e3%80%8c%e3%81%a8%e3%82%8a%e3%81%82%e3%81%88%e3%81%9a%e5%85%a8%e3%82%ab%e3%83%a9%e3%83%a0%e5%85%a5%e3%82%8c%e3%82%8b%e3%80%8d%e3%81%93%e3%81%a8%e3%82%92%e3%82%84%e3%82%81%e3%82%8b%e3%81%93%e3%81%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/?p=25521","title":{"rendered":"\u300c\u3068\u308a\u3042\u3048\u305a\u5168\u30ab\u30e9\u30e0\u5165\u308c\u308b\u300d\u3053\u3068\u3092\u3084\u3081\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3057\u305f\u8a71"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u96e8\u5929\u6642\u306e\u58f2\u4e0a\u30a4\u30f3\u30d1\u30af\u30c8\u3092\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u63a8\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u6642\u306e\u7f60\u306fSELECT\u6587\u3060\u3063\u305f<br \/>\n<em>\u30aa\u30fc\u30d7\u30f3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\uff08UCI Bike Sharing, 17,379\u6642\u9593\uff09\u306e\u691c\u8a3c<\/em><br \/>\n\u3053\u3093\u306b\u3061\u306f\uff01AX\u7814\u7a76\u5ba4\u306e\u5e84\u5185\u3067\u3059\u3002<BR>\u7a81\u7136\u3067\u3059\u304c\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb<br \/>\n<strong>\u201d\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u7cbe\u5ea6\u306b\u3053\u3060\u308f\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304b\uff1f\u201d<\/strong><BR>\u4eca\u65e5\u306f\u3001\u305d\u3093\u306a\u3042\u306a\u305f\u306b\u201d\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u8ad6\u201d\u306e\u8a71\u3092\u3057\u305f\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-wide\">\n<p><strong>\u300c\u96e8\u306e\u65e5\u3063\u3066\u3001\u7d50\u5c40\u3046\u3061\u306e\u30b7\u30a7\u30a2\u30b5\u30a4\u30af\u30eb\u3069\u308c\u304f\u3089\u3044\u58f2\u4e0a\u843d\u3061\u3066\u308b\uff1f \u6765\u671f\u306e\u300e\u96e8\u306e\u65e5\u30af\u30fc\u30dd\u30f3\u300f\u306e\u4e88\u7b97\u3092\u53d6\u308a\u305f\u3044\u304b\u3089\u3001\u30d1\u30c3\u3068\u6570\u5b57\u51fa\u3057\u3066\u300d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u5915\u65b9\u306eSlack\u306b\u3001\u4e8b\u696d\u8cac\u4efb\u8005\u304b\u3089\u3053\u3093\u306a\u4e00\u884c\u304c\u98db\u3093\u3067\u304d\u305f\u3068\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u624b\u5143\u306b\u306f\u5168\u30ed\u30b0\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002SQL\u3082\u66f8\u3051\u308b\u3002BI\u30c4\u30fc\u30eb\u306e\u64cd\u4f5c\u3082\u304a\u624b\u306e\u3082\u306e\u30025\u5206\u3067\u8fd4\u305b\u305d\u3046\u306a\u8cea\u554f\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3068\u3053\u308d\u304c\u3053\u306e\u8cea\u554f\u3001<strong>\u96c6\u8a08\u306e\u3084\u308a\u65b9\u3072\u3068\u3064\u3067\u7b54\u3048\u304c2\u500d\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3076\u308c\u3061\u3083\u3046\u3093\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/strong><br \/>\n\u3057\u304b\u3082\u5384\u4ecb\u306a\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3001<strong>\u300c\u3044\u3061\u3070\u3093\u771f\u9762\u76ee\u306b\u591a\u5909\u91cf\u89e3\u6790\u3092\u3084\u3063\u305f\u65b9\u304c\u3001\u3044\u3061\u3070\u3093\u5927\u304d\u304f\u5916\u3059\u300d<\/strong>\u3068\u8a00\u308f\u308c\u305f\u3089\u3001\u3069\u3046\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304b\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u6295\u7a3f\u306f\u3001\u516c\u958b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u4f7f\u3063\u3066\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u300c\u96e8\u306e\u52b9\u679c\u300d\u3092\u898b\u7a4d\u3082\u3063\u305f\u8a18\u9332\u3067\u3059\u3002\u9014\u4e2d\u3067\u7acb\u3066\u305f\u4eee\u8aac\u304c\u898b\u4e8b\u306b\u5916\u308c\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5931\u6557\u306e\u904e\u7a0b\u3082\u542b\u3081\u3066\u304a\u697d\u3057\u307f\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<h3>\u3053\u306e\u6295\u7a3f\u306b\u51fa\u3066\u304f\u308b\u7528\u8a9e\u89e3\u8aac<\/h3>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u7528\u8a9e<\/th>\n<th>\u4e00\u884c\u3067\u8a00\u3046\u3068<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u904e\u5270\u8abf\u6574\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\uff08over-adjustment\uff09<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u6b63\u3057\u304f\u8abf\u6574\u3057\u305f\u3064\u3082\u308a\u3067\u3001\u52b9\u679c\u3092\u63e1\u308a\u3064\u3076\u3059\u4e8b\u6545<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u4e2d\u9593\u5909\u6570\uff08mediator \/ post-treatment variable\uff09<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u539f\u56e0\u306e\u300c\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u3057\u3066\u300d\u52d5\u304f\u5909\u6570\u3002\u5165\u308c\u3066\u306f\u3044\u3051\u306a\u3044<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u30cc\u30fc\u30b5\u30f3\u30b9\u95a2\u6570\uff08\u5c40\u5916\u6bcd\u6570\uff09<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u77e5\u308a\u305f\u304f\u3082\u306a\u3044\u306e\u306b\u3001\u7b54\u3048\u3092\u652f\u914d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u95a2\u6570<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u76f4\u4ea4\u5316 \/ Neyman\u76f4\u4ea4\u6027<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u63a8\u5b9a\u5024\u304c\u300c\u9593\u9055\u3063\u305f\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u300d\u306b\u920d\u611f\u306b\u306a\u308b\u6027\u8cea<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u5171\u901a\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\uff08\u91cd\u306a\u308a\uff09<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u305d\u3082\u305d\u3082\u6bd4\u8f03\u3067\u304d\u308b\u76f8\u624b\u304c\u3044\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u554f\u984c<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h3>\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\uff5c\u4f7f\u3046\u306e\u306f\u3053\u308c\u3060\u3051<\/h3>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u30bb\u30c3\u30c8<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>UCI Bike Sharing Dataset\uff08<code>hour.csv<\/code>\uff09<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u4e2d\u8eab<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Washington D.C. \u306e Capital Bikeshare\u30011\u6642\u9593\u3054\u3068\u306e\u30ec\u30f3\u30bf\u30eb\u53f0\u6570\u3068\u6c17\u8c61<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u671f\u9593<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>2011-01-01 \u301c 2012-12-31\uff0817,379\u6642\u9593\uff09<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u5e73\u5747\u9700\u8981<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>189.5\u53f0\uff0f\u6642\u9593<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u300c\u96e8\u300d\u306e\u5b9a\u7fa9<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><code>weathersit &gt;= 3<\/code>\uff08\u5c0f\u96e8\u30fb\u96f7\u96e8\u30fb\u5c0f\u96ea\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff09= 1,422\u6642\u9593\uff08\u5168\u4f53\u306e8.2%\uff09<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u914d\u5e03\u5143<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/archive.ics.uci.edu\/dataset\/275\/bike+sharing+dataset\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">archive.ics.uci.edu\/dataset\/275<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h3>\u307e\u305a\u3001\u8ab0\u3067\u3082\u3084\u308b\u96c6\u8a08\u304b\u3089<\/h3>\n<p>\u6700\u521d\u306e\u30af\u30a8\u30ea\u306f <code>GROUP BY is_rain<\/code>\u3002\u5e73\u5747\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u7b97\u3059\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/fig01_naive.png\" alt=\"\u96e8\u3042\u308a\u30fb\u306a\u3057\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u30ec\u30f3\u30bf\u30eb\u53f0\u6570\u306e\u68d2\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\u3002\u96e8\u306a\u3057196\u53f0\u3001\u96e8\u30fb\u96ea112\u53f0\u3001\u5dee\u306f-84.9\u53f0\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<figcaption>\u96e8\u30fb\u96ea\u306e\u6642\u9593\u5e2f\uff081,422\u6642\u9593\uff09\u3068\u3001\u305d\u308c\u4ee5\u5916\uff0815,957\u6642\u9593\uff09\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u30ec\u30f3\u30bf\u30eb\u53f0\u6570\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>\u221284.9\u53f0\u3002<\/strong>\u300c\u96e8\u304c\u964d\u308b\u30681\u6642\u9593\u306b\u7d0485\u53f0\u6e1b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u300d\u3068\u8fd4\u3057\u304b\u3051\u3066\u3001\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u52d8\u304c\u50cd\u304f\u65b9\u306f\u7acb\u3061\u6b62\u307e\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u96e8\u304c\u964d\u308b\u306e\u306f\u6c17\u6e29\u304c\u4f4e\u3044\u65e5\u304c\u591a\u3044\u3057\u3001\u591c\u9593\u306b\u3082\u964d\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u221285\u53f0\u306b\u306f\u3001\u5bd2\u3055\u3084\u6642\u9593\u5e2f\u306b\u3088\u308b\u843d\u3061\u8fbc\u307f\u3082\u6df7\u3056\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306f\u305a\u3060\u3001\u3068\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/fig02_confound.png\" alt=\"\u96e8\u3042\u308a\u30fb\u306a\u3057\u3067\u4f53\u611f\u6e29\u5ea6\u30fb\u6e7f\u5ea6\u306e\u5206\u5e03\u304c\u9055\u3044\u3001\u96e8\u306e\u767a\u751f\u7387\u304c\u6708\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u7570\u306a\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u30593\u3064\u306e\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<figcaption>\u96e8\u306e\u6642\u9593\u5e2f\u306f\u5c11\u3057\u808c\u5bd2\u304f\u3001\u96e8\u306e\u964d\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3055\u306f\u5b63\u7bc0\u3067\u3082\u6642\u9593\u5e2f\u3067\u3082\u9055\u3046\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u305d\u3053\u3067\u80cc\u4f38\u3073\u3092\u3057\u3066\u91cd\u56de\u5e30\u5206\u6790\u3092\u8d70\u3089\u305b\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6c17\u6e29\u3001\u4f53\u611f\u6e29\u5ea6\u3001\u6e7f\u5ea6\u3001\u98a8\u901f\u3001\u6642\u9593\u5e2f\u3001\u66dc\u65e5\u3001\u5b63\u7bc0\u3001\u6708\u3001\u5e74\u3002DB\u304b\u3089\u5f15\u3063\u3053\u629c\u3051\u308b\u6c17\u8c61\u30fb\u65e5\u6642\u306e\u7279\u5fb4\u91cf\u3092\u5168\u90e8\u3001\u8aac\u660e\u5909\u6570\u306b\u5165\u308c\u307e\u3059\uff08\u3044\u308f\u3086\u308b <code>SELECT *<\/code> \u306e\u7cbe\u795e\u3067\u3059\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u221230.4\u53f0\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>3\u5206\u306e1\u8fd1\u304f\u307e\u3067\u7e2e\u307f\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u300c\u843d\u3061\u8fbc\u307f\u306e\u5927\u534a\u306f\u96e8\u306e\u305b\u3044\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5bd2\u3055\u3084\u6642\u9593\u5e2f\u306e\u305b\u3044\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002\u96e8\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u306f30\u53f0\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306b\u3059\u304e\u306a\u3044\u300d\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u6975\u3081\u3066\u7b4b\u306e\u901a\u3063\u305f\u8a71\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u3092\u3082\u3068\u306b\u300c\u96e8\u5929\u30af\u30fc\u30dd\u30f3\u306e\u4e88\u7b97\u306f\u5c11\u984d\u3067\u3044\u3044\u3067\u3059\u306d\u300d\u3068\u7a1f\u8b70\u304c\u901a\u308a\u304b\u3051\u307e\u3057\u305f\uff08\u3082\u3061\u308d\u3093\u3001\u305d\u3046\u7c21\u5358\u306b\u306f\u3044\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\"><p>\u3053\u306e\u6295\u7a3f\u304c\u305f\u3069\u308a\u7740\u304f\u7b54\u3048\u306f\u3001<strong>\u221270.1\u53f0<\/strong> \u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u4e01\u5be7\u306b\u5168\u90e8\u30b3\u30f3\u30c8\u30ed\u30fc\u30eb\u3057\u305f\u306f\u305a\u306e\u91cd\u56de\u5e30\u304c\u3001<strong>\u4f55\u3082\u8003\u3048\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u5358\u7d14\u5e73\u5747\u3088\u308a\u5927\u304d\u304f\u5916\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f<\/strong>\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3082\u52b9\u679c\u3092\u5c0f\u3055\u304f\u898b\u305b\u308b\u65b9\u5411\u306b\u3002\u3053\u308c\u3067\u306f\u4e88\u7b97\u304c\u5b8c\u5168\u306b\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u96e8\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d1\u30af\u30c8\u3092\u534a\u5206\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306b\u898b\u7a4d\u3082\u3063\u305f\u307e\u307e\u3001\u5bfe\u7b56\u4e88\u7b97\u3092\u524a\u308b\u5224\u65ad\u304c\u901a\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u6700\u521d\u306b\u7acb\u3066\u305f\u4eee\u8aac\uff1a\u72af\u4eba\u306f\u975e\u7dda\u5f62\u6027\u306b\u9055\u3044\u306a\u3044\uff01<\/h2>\n<p>\u6700\u521d\u306b\u601d\u3044\u3064\u304f\u306e\u306f\u3001\u5927\u4f53\u3053\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002\u300c\u72af\u4eba\u306f\u7dda\u5f62\u56de\u5e30\u306e\u9650\u754c\uff08\u975e\u7dda\u5f62\u6027\uff09\u3060\u300d\u3068\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u73fe\u5b9f\u306e\u4eba\u9593\u306e\u884c\u52d5\u304c\u3001\u304d\u308c\u3044\u306a\u76f4\u7dda\u306b\u306a\u308b\u30cf\u30ba\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u4e2d\u8eab\u304c\u3059\u3079\u3066\u53ef\u8996\u5316\u3067\u304d\u308b\u30ac\u30e9\u30b9\u30dc\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb <strong>EBM\uff08Explainable Boosting Machine\uff09<\/strong> \u3067\u3001\u4f53\u611f\u6e29\u5ea6\u3068\u9700\u8981\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u3092\u63cf\u304b\u305b\u308b\u3068\u3001\u305d\u306e\u78ba\u4fe1\u306f\u6df1\u307e\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/fig04_shape_atemp.png\" alt=\"\u4f53\u611f\u6e29\u5ea6\u3068\u9700\u8981\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u300231\u2103\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u3092\u6253\u3061\u3001\u305d\u308c\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3067\u306f\u6025\u843d\u3059\u308b\u9006U\u5b57\u30ab\u30fc\u30d6\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<figcaption>\u7dd1\u304cEBM\u306e\u5b66\u7fd2\u3057\u305f\u52b9\u679c\u3001\u70b9\u7dda\u304c\u540c\u3058\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u76f4\u7dda\u3092\u5f53\u3066\u305f\u3068\u304d\u306e\u59ff\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u4f53\u611f31\u2103\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u305f\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3067\u9700\u8981\u306f\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u3057\u3001\u305d\u3053\u304b\u3089\u6025\u964d\u4e0b\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u731b\u6691\u306b\u6c57\u3060\u304f\u3067\u81ea\u8ee2\u8eca\u3092\u6f15\u3050\u4eba\u306f\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u3068\u3053\u308d\u304c\u70b9\u7dda\u3092\u898b\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u76f4\u7dda\u3057\u304b\u5f15\u3051\u306a\u3044\u7dda\u5f62\u56de\u5e30\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u3092\u8a8d\u8b58\u3067\u304d\u305a<strong>\u300c\u6691\u3044\u307b\u3069\u9700\u8981\u304c\u4f38\u3073\u308b\u300d\u3068\u4e3b\u5f35\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u9ad8\u6e29\u57df\u3067\u8aac\u660e\u304c\u3064\u304b\u306a\u304f\u306a\u3063\u305f\u8aa4\u5dee\u306f\u3001\u3069\u3053\u304b\u306b\u884c\u304d\u5834\u3092\u6c42\u3081\u307e\u3059\u3002\u590f\u5834\u306e\u5915\u7acb\u3068\u6642\u671f\u304c\u91cd\u306a\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u305d\u306e\u8aa4\u5dee\u304c\u300c\u96e8\u306e\u4fc2\u6570\u300d\u306b\u62bc\u3057\u4ed8\u3051\u3089\u308c\u305f\u2014\u2014\u305d\u3046\u8003\u3048\u308c\u3070\u8fbb\u8904\u304c\u5408\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6642\u9593\u5e2f\u3082\u540c\u3058\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/fig05_shape_hr.png\" alt=\"\u6642\u523b\u3068\u9700\u8981\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u3002\u671d8\u6642\u3068\u5915\u65b917-18\u6642\u306b\u5927\u304d\u306a\u30b9\u30d1\u30a4\u30af\u304c\u3042\u308b\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<figcaption>\u671d8\u6642\u3068\u5915\u65b917\u301c18\u6642\u306e\u901a\u52e4\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u3002\u76f4\u7dda\u3067\u306f\u7d76\u5bfe\u306b\u63cf\u3051\u306a\u3044\u5f62\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u300c\u975e\u7dda\u5f62\u6027\u3092\u6349\u3048\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u53e4\u3044\u7d71\u8a08\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u4f7f\u3063\u305f\u306e\u304c\u6557\u56e0\u3060\u300d\u3002\u305d\u3046\u7d50\u8ad6\u3065\u3051\u308b\u524d\u306b\u3001\u5ff5\u306e\u305f\u3081\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u8868\u73fe\u529b\u306e\u5dee\u3092\u78ba\u304b\u3081\u3066\u304a\u304f\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>6\u901a\u308a\u56de\u3057\u305f\u3089\u3001\u4eee\u8aac\u304c\u5916\u308c\u305f<\/h2>\n<p>\u5b66\u7fd2\u5668\u30923\u901a\u308a\uff08\u7dda\u5f62\u56de\u5e30\u30fbGBDT\u30fbEBM\uff09\u3001\u6295\u5165\u3059\u308b\u5909\u6570\u30922\u901a\u308a\uff08\u6e7f\u5ea6\u3068\u98a8\u901f\u3092\u5165\u308c\u308b\uff0f\u5916\u3059\uff09\u3002\u639b\u3051\u30666\u901a\u308a\u3002\u3059\u3079\u3066\u540c\u3058\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u8ad6\u306e\u67a0\u7d44\u307f\uff08DoubleML\uff09\u306b\u8f09\u305b\u3066\u3001\u6761\u4ef6\u3092\u305d\u308d\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/fig13_grid.png\" alt=\"\u5b66\u7fd2\u56683\u7a2e\u3068\u5909\u6570\u30bb\u30c3\u30c82\u7a2e\u306e6\u901a\u308a\u306e\u63a8\u5b9a\u5024\u3092\u4e26\u3079\u305f\u8868\u3002\u7e26\u65b9\u5411\u306e\u5dee\u306f\u6700\u592717\u53f0\u3001\u6a2a\u65b9\u5411\u306f\u6700\u592739\u53f0\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<figcaption>6\u901a\u308a\u3059\u3079\u3066\u306e\u63a8\u5b9a\u5024\u3002\u7e26\u306b\u898b\u308b\u3068\u5b66\u7fd2\u5668\u306e\u9055\u3044\u3001\u6a2a\u306b\u898b\u308b\u3068\u5909\u6570\u306e\u9055\u3044\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\u5b66\u7fd2\u5668<\/th>\n<th>\u6e7f\u5ea6\u30fb\u98a8\u901f\u3092\u5165\u308c\u305f\u5834\u5408<\/th>\n<th>\u6e7f\u5ea6\u30fb\u98a8\u901f\u3092\u5916\u3057\u305f\u5834\u5408<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u7dda\u5f62\u56de\u5e30\uff08OLS\uff0b\u30ed\u30b8\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\uff09<\/td>\n<td>\u221231.0\u53f0<\/td>\n<td><strong>\u221270.5\u53f0<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GBDT\uff08\u52fe\u914d\u30d6\u30fc\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u6728\uff09<\/td>\n<td>\u221244.6\u53f0<\/td>\n<td><strong>\u221264.5\u53f0<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>EBM\uff08\u30ac\u30e9\u30b9\u30dc\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\uff09<\/td>\n<td>\u221247.8\u53f0<\/td>\n<td><strong>\u221270.1\u53f0<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h4>\u7e26\uff08\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u8ce2\u3055\uff09\u3092\u898b\u308b<\/h4>\n<p>\u6e7f\u5ea6\u30fb\u98a8\u901f\u3092\u5916\u3057\u305f\u53f3\u5217\u3092\u898b\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u539f\u59cb\u7684\u306a\u7dda\u5f62\u56de\u5e30\u304c \u221270.5\u53f0\u3001GBDT\u304c \u221264.5\u53f0\u3001EBM\u304c \u221270.1\u53f0\u3002<strong>\u307b\u307c\u540c\u3058\u300c\u7d04\u221270\u53f0\u300d\u306b\u7740\u5730\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/strong>\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u3044\u304f\u3089\u9ad8\u5ea6\u306b\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3001\u6570\u5b57\u306f\u305b\u3044\u305c\u3044\u6570\u53f0\u304b\u3089\u5341\u6570\u53f0\u3057\u304b\u52d5\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<h4>\u6a2a\uff08\u5909\u6570\u306e\u9078\u3073\u65b9\uff09\u3092\u898b\u308b<\/h4>\n<p>\u5de6\u5217\u3068\u53f3\u5217\u3092\u898b\u6bd4\u3079\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3069\u306e\u5b66\u7fd2\u5668\u3067\u3082\u3001<strong>\u6e7f\u5ea6\u3068\u98a8\u901f\u3092\u5165\u308c\u308b\u304b\u5916\u3059\u304b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3001\u6700\u592739\u53f0\u2014\u2014\u500d\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306e\u5dee\u304c\u51fa\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u521d\u306e\u4eee\u8aac\u306f\u898b\u4e8b\u306b\u5916\u308c\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u975e\u7dda\u5f62\u6027\u306f\u7121\u7f6a\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u6e7f\u5ea6\u3092\u5165\u308c\u305f\u5de6\u5217\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u306f\u3001\u7dda\u5f62\u306e\u221231.0\u53f0\u304b\u3089EBM\u306e\u221247.8\u53f0\u307e\u306717\u53f0\u306e\u5dee\u304c\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u4e3b\u72af\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002\u6e7f\u5ea6\u3092\u5916\u3057\u305f\u3068\u305f\u3093\u3001\u5b66\u7fd2\u5668\u306e\u9055\u3044\u306b\u3088\u308b\u5dee\u306f\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u6d88\u3048\u53bb\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u771f\u72af\u4eba\u306f\u3001\u30a2\u30eb\u30b4\u30ea\u30ba\u30e0\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u4f55\u6c17\u306a\u304f\u66f8\u3044\u305fSELECT\u6587\u306e\u300c\u305f\u3063\u305f2\u3064\u306e\u30ab\u30e9\u30e0\u300d\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u9806\u5e8f\u3067\u78ba\u304b\u3081\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3001\u300c\u975e\u7dda\u5f62\u6027\u304c\u539f\u56e0\u3060\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3001\u3082\u3063\u3068\u3082\u3089\u3057\u3044\u3051\u308c\u3069\u7684\u5916\u308c\u306a\u89e3\u8aac\u8a18\u4e8b\u3092\u516c\u958b\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002<strong>\u4eee\u8aac\u304c\u6b63\u3057\u3044\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u306f\u3001\u4ed6\u306e\u6761\u4ef6\u3092\u56fa\u5b9a\u3057\u3066\u4e21\u65b9\u8a66\u3059\u307e\u3067\u5206\u304b\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/strong>\u6bd4\u8f03\u8868\u3092\u4f5c\u308b\u306e\u306f\u683c\u597d\u3064\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u6700\u4f4e\u9650\u306e\u691c\u8a3c\u624b\u7d9a\u304d\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u3067\u306f\u3001\u826f\u304b\u308c\u3068\u601d\u3063\u3066\u5165\u308c\u305f\u6e7f\u5ea6\u306f\u4f55\u3092\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u306e\u304b\uff1f<\/h3>\n<p>\u300c\u96e8\u306e\u5206\u6790\u306a\u3093\u3060\u304b\u3089\u3001\u6c17\u8c61\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u3042\u308b\u6e7f\u5ea6\u3092\u5165\u308c\u308b\u306e\u306f\u5f53\u305f\u308a\u524d\u3060\u308d\u3046\u300d\u3002\u8ab0\u3082\u304c\u305d\u3046\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u3053\u3053\u3067\u8d77\u304d\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u304c <strong>\u904e\u5270\u8abf\u6574\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9<\/strong>\uff08over-adjustment\uff09\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u679c\u306e\u77e2\u5370\u3092\u66f8\u304f\u3068\u3001\u7406\u7531\u304c\u4e00\u76ee\u77ad\u7136\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/diag_2026-09-16-131339.png\" alt=\"\u56e0\u679c\u306e\u77e2\u5370\u3092\u66f8\u304f\u3068\u3001\u7406\u7531\u304c\u4e00\u76ee\u77ad\u7136\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u96e8\u304c\u964d\u308b\u3068\u6e7f\u5ea6\u304c\u4e0a\u304c\u308a\u307e\u3059\uff08\u3053\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u3082\u3001\u96e8\u5929\u6642\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u6e7f\u5ea6\u306f83%\u3001\u305d\u308c\u4ee5\u5916\u306f61%\u3067\u3059\uff09\u3002\u91cd\u56de\u5e30\u306b\u6e7f\u5ea6\u3092\u5165\u308c\u3066\u56fa\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u300c\u540c\u3058\u6e7f\u5ea6\u306e\u6642\u9593\u3069\u3046\u3057\u3067\u3001\u96e8\u304c\u964d\u3063\u305f\u6642\u9593\u3068\u964d\u3089\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u6642\u9593\u3092\u6bd4\u3079\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7121\u8336\u306a\u6bd4\u8f03\u3092\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u300c\u96e8\u3067\u30b8\u30e1\u30b8\u30e1\u3057\u305f\u304b\u3089\u4e57\u308a\u305f\u304f\u306a\u3044\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u9700\u8981\u6e1b\u306e\u30c0\u30e1\u30fc\u30b8\u304c<strong>\u307e\u308b\u3054\u3068\u6e7f\u5ea6\u306e\u624b\u67c4\u306b\u306a\u308a<\/strong>\u3001\u96e8\u81ea\u8eab\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d1\u30af\u30c8\u304c\u305d\u306e\u5206\u3060\u3051\u4e0d\u5f53\u306b\u524a\u304e\u843d\u3068\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u5165\u308c\u3066\u3044\u3044\u5909\u6570\uff08\u4ea4\u7d61\u56e0\u5b50\uff09\uff1a<\/strong> \u96e8\u3068\u9700\u8981\u306e<strong>\u4e21\u65b9\u306e\u539f\u56e0<\/strong>\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3082\u306e\uff08\u5b63\u7bc0\u3001\u6642\u9593\u5e2f\u3001\u6c17\u6e29\u306a\u3069\uff09<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u5165\u308c\u3066\u306f\u3044\u3051\u306a\u3044\u5909\u6570\uff08\u4e2d\u9593\u5909\u6570\uff09\uff1a<\/strong> \u96e8\u304c\u964d\u3063\u305f<strong>\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u3057\u3066\u52d5\u304f\u3082\u306e<\/strong>\uff08\u6e7f\u5ea6\u3001\u98a8\u901f\u3001\u8def\u9762\u72b6\u614b\u3001\u96e8\u5929\u6642\u3060\u3051\u767a\u52d5\u3059\u308b\u65bd\u7b56\u306a\u3069\uff09<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u5224\u65ad\u306b\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u306a\u691c\u5b9a\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u3080\u3057\u308d<strong>\u4e88\u6e2c\u7cbe\u5ea6\u3060\u3051\u3067\u7279\u5fb4\u91cf\u3092\u9078\u3076\u3068\u3001\u78ba\u5b9f\u306b\u9593\u9055\u3063\u305f\u65b9\u3092\u9078\u3076\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059<\/strong>\u3002\u6e7f\u5ea6\u306f\u300c\u96e8\u304c\u964d\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u300d\u3092\u4e88\u6e2c\u3059\u308b\u7cbe\u5ea6\u3092\u5287\u7684\u306b\u4e0a\u3052\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u304b\u3089\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h4>\u300c\u6bd4\u8f03\u76f8\u624b\u304c\u3044\u306a\u3044\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3001\u3082\u3046\u3072\u3068\u3064\u306e\u554f\u984c<\/h4>\n<p>EBM\u3067\u300c\u96e8\u304c\u964d\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u300d\u3092\u53ef\u8996\u5316\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u5225\u89d2\u5ea6\u304b\u3089\u306e\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7684\u306a\u8a3c\u62e0\u304c\u51fa\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/fig06_shape_treat.png\" alt=\"\u6e7f\u5ea6\u30fb\u6708\u30fb\u6642\u523b\u304c\u964d\u96e8\u78ba\u7387\u306b\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u52b9\u679c\u306e3\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<figcaption>\u6e7f\u5ea680%\u8d85\u3067\u964d\u96e8\u30aa\u30c3\u30ba\u304c\u8df3\u306d\u4e0a\u304c\u308b\u3002\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u300c\u96e8\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u300d\u3092\u8a00\u3044\u5f53\u3066\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u6e7f\u5ea6\u304c80%\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308b\u3068\u3001\u964d\u96e8\u30aa\u30c3\u30ba\u304c\u5782\u76f4\u306b\u7acb\u3061\u4e0a\u304c\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u5f53\u7136\u3067\u3001\u96e8\u304c\u964d\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u6700\u4e2d\u306f\u6e7f\u5ea6\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u304b\u3089\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u6e7f\u5ea6\u3092\u7279\u5fb4\u91cf\u306b\u5165\u308c\u305f\u77ac\u9593\u3001\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u306f<strong>\u300c\u6e7f\u5ea6\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u306e\u306b\u30ab\u30e9\u30c3\u3068\u6674\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u6642\u9593\u5e2f\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3001\u73fe\u5b9f\u306b\u306f\u3081\u3063\u305f\u306b\u5b58\u5728\u3057\u306a\u3044\u6bd4\u8f03\u76f8\u624b\u3092\u63a2\u3059\u30b2\u30fc\u30e0<\/strong>\u304c\u59cb\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/fig10_overlap.png\" alt=\"\u50be\u5411\u30b9\u30b3\u30a2\u306e\u5206\u5e03\u3002\u6e7f\u5ea6\u8fbc\u307f\u3067\u306f\u9ad8\u78ba\u7387\u5074\u306b\u96e8\u306a\u3057\u306e\u6bd4\u8f03\u76f8\u624b\u304c\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u3044\u306a\u3044\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<figcaption>\u5de6\uff1a\u6e7f\u5ea6\u3092\u5165\u308c\u308b\u3068\u300c\u96e8\u3067\u3042\u308b\u78ba\u73870.8\u8d85\u300d\u306e\u9818\u57df\u306b\u6bd4\u8f03\u76f8\u624b\u304c\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u6b8b\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3002\u53f3\uff1a\u6e7f\u5ea6\u3092\u5916\u3059\u3068\u307b\u307c\u5168\u6642\u9593\u304c\u6bd4\u8f03\u53ef\u80fd\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u6570\u3048\u308b\u3068\u3001\u6e7f\u5ea6\u3092\u5165\u308c\u305f\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3067\u306f\u300c\u96e8\u3067\u3042\u308b\u78ba\u73870.8\u8d85\u300d\u3068\u5224\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u305f\u96e8\u306e\u6642\u9593\u304c100\u4ef6\u3042\u308b\u306e\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3001\u6bd4\u8f03\u76f8\u624b\u306b\u306a\u308b\u96e8\u306a\u3057\u306e\u6642\u9593\u306f\u308f\u305a\u304b20\u4ef6\u3057\u304b\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u3053\u308c\u3092 <strong>\u5171\u901a\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8<\/strong>\uff08common support\uff09\u306e\u5d29\u58ca\u3068\u547c\u3073\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6bd4\u8f03\u76f8\u624b\u304c\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u3044\u306a\u3044\u9818\u57df\u3067\u7121\u7406\u306b\u52b9\u679c\u3092\u63a8\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u7d50\u679c\u3001\u63a8\u8a08\u5024\u304c\u72c2\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u3067\u306f\u3001EBM \u00d7 DoubleML \u306f\u4f55\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b\u3042\u308b\u306e\u304b<\/h3>\n<p>\u300c\u6e7f\u5ea6\u3055\u3048\u629c\u3051\u3070\u666e\u901a\u306e\u7dda\u5f62\u56de\u5e30\u3067\u3082\u221270.5\u53f0\u304c\u51fa\u308b\u306a\u3089\u3001\u96e3\u3057\u3044\u6a5f\u68b0\u5b66\u7fd2\u306f\u8981\u3089\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u306f\uff1f\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u3082\u3063\u3068\u3082\u306a\u7591\u554f\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u5b9f\u306f\u9806\u756a\u304c\u9006\u3067\u3059\u3002<strong>\u6e7f\u5ea6\u3068\u3044\u3046\u72af\u4eba\u3092\u7279\u5b9a\u3067\u304d\u305f\u306e\u306f\u3001\u4e2d\u8eab\u306e\u898b\u3048\u308bEBM\u3092\u4f7f\u3063\u305f\u304b\u3089<\/strong>\u306b\u4ed6\u306a\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3082\u3057\u3053\u308c\u304c\u30d6\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u30dc\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u306a\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\uff08LightGBM\u306a\u3069\uff09\u5358\u4f53\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3089\u3001\u221244.6\u53f0\u3068\u3044\u3046\u4e2d\u9014\u534a\u7aef\u306a\u6570\u5b57\u304c\u51fa\u305f\u3068\u304d\u3001\u306a\u305c\u305d\u306e\u6570\u5b57\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u306e\u304b\u8ab0\u3082\u8aac\u660e\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u300cAI\u304c\u51fa\u3057\u305f\u6570\u5b57\u3060\u304b\u3089\u300d\u3068\u9d5c\u5451\u307f\u306b\u3059\u308b\u3057\u304b\u306a\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30ac\u30e9\u30b9\u30dc\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3067\u3042\u308bEBM\u3092\u4f7f\u3063\u305f\u304b\u3089\u3053\u305d\u3001<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\u6e7f\u5ea680%\u8d85\u304c\u3001\u307b\u307c\u96e8\u30d5\u30e9\u30b0\u3068\u540c\u7fa9\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068<\/li>\n<li>\u5e73\u65e5\u671d8\u6642\u306e\u901a\u52e4\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u304c\u3001\u4f11\u65e5\u306b\u306f\u304d\u308c\u3044\u306b\u6d88\u3048\u308b\u3053\u3068<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/fig07_interaction.png\" alt=\"\u6642\u523b\u00d7\u5e73\u65e5\u30d5\u30e9\u30b0\u306e\u4ea4\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u30d2\u30fc\u30c8\u30de\u30c3\u30d7\u3002\u4f11\u65e5\u306e\u671d8\u6642\u306f\u5927\u304d\u304f\u30de\u30a4\u30ca\u30b9\u3001\u4f11\u65e5\u306e\u65e5\u4e2d\u306f\u30d7\u30e9\u30b9\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<figcaption>\u4f11\u65e5\u3068\u5e73\u65e5\u3067\u610f\u5473\u304c\u53cd\u8ee2\u3059\u308b\u671d8\u6642\u3002EBM\u306f2\u5909\u6570\u306e\u4ea4\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u3082\u5b66\u7fd2\u3059\u308b\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u4e8c\u3064\u3092\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\u3068\u3057\u3066\u76ee\u306e\u5f53\u305f\u308a\u306b\u3057\u3001\u300c\u6e7f\u5ea6\u306f\u4e2d\u9593\u5909\u6570\u3060\u304b\u3089\u629c\u304b\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3044\u3051\u306a\u3044\u300d\u3068\u4eba\u9593\u304c\u6c17\u3065\u304f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002EBM\u306e\u771f\u306e\u5f79\u5272\u306f\u5358\u306b\u7b54\u3048\u3092\u51fa\u3059\u3053\u3068\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001<strong>\u81ea\u5206\u304c\u3069\u3053\u3067\u9593\u9055\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3092\u6559\u3048\u3066\u304f\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068<\/strong>\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h4>DoubleML\u304c\u62c5\u5f53\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u5f79\u5272<\/h4>\n<p>\u305d\u3053\u306bDoubleML\uff08Double Machine Learning\uff09\u3092\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u307e\u3059\u3002\u884c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u51e6\u7406\u306f\u6975\u3081\u3066\u660e\u5feb\u306a3\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\u6a5f\u68b0\u5b66\u7fd2\u3067\u80cc\u666f\u8981\u56e0\u304b\u3089\u300c\u9700\u8981\u300d\u3092\u4e88\u6e2c \u2794 \u4e88\u6e2c\u3057\u304d\u308c\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3010\u9700\u8981\u306e\u30ba\u30ec\u3011\u3092\u62bd\u51fa<\/li>\n<li>\u6a5f\u68b0\u5b66\u7fd2\u3067\u80cc\u666f\u8981\u56e0\u304b\u3089\u300c\u96e8\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u300d\u3092\u4e88\u6e2c \u2794 \u4e88\u6e2c\u3057\u304d\u308c\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3010\u96e8\u306e\u30ba\u30ec\u3011\u3092\u62bd\u51fa<\/li>\n<li>\u30ba\u30ec\u540c\u58eb\u3092\u3076\u3064\u3051\u308b\uff08\u76f4\u4ea4\u5316\uff09 \u2794 \u80cc\u666f\u8981\u56e0\u304c\u76f8\u6bba\u3055\u308c\u3001\u7d14\u7c8b\u306a\u96e8\u306e\u52b9\u679c\u3060\u3051\u304c\u6b8b\u308b<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/fig09_residual.png\" alt=\"\u5de6\u306f\u751f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u6563\u5e03\u56f3\u3001\u53f3\u306f\u6b8b\u5dee\u540c\u58eb\u306e\u6563\u5e03\u56f3\u3068\u56de\u5e30\u76f4\u7dda\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<figcaption>\u5de6\uff1a\u6642\u9593\u5e2f\u306e\u7656\u306b\u57cb\u3082\u308c\u305f\u751f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3002\u53f3\uff1a\u8aac\u660e\u3067\u304d\u308b\u90e8\u5206\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u7b97\u3057\u305f\u3042\u3068\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u3002\u50be\u304d\u304c\u56e0\u679c\u52b9\u679c\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u306a\u305c\u308f\u3056\u308f\u3056\u3053\u306e\u5f62\u306b\u3059\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\u3002\u6a5f\u68b0\u5b66\u7fd2\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306f\u4e88\u6e2c\u8aa4\u5dee\u3092\u5c0f\u3055\u304f\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u4fc2\u6570\u3092\u7e2e\u3081\u305f\u308a\u679d\u3092\u5208\u3063\u305f\u308a\u3057\u307e\u3059\uff08\u6b63\u5247\u5316\uff09\u3002\u305d\u308c\u306f\u4e88\u6e2c\u306b\u306f\u6709\u5229\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u56e0\u679c\u52b9\u679c\u306e\u63a8\u5b9a\u5024\u306b\u5c0f\u3055\u306a\u504f\u308a\u3092\u6301\u3061\u8fbc\u3093\u3067\u3057\u307e\u3044\u3001<strong>\u305d\u306e\u307e\u307e\u3067\u306f\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\u304c\u6b63\u3057\u304f\u5f15\u3051\u306a\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u76f4\u4ea4\u5316\u3055\u308c\u305f\u63a8\u5b9a\u5f0f\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u504f\u308a\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b1\u6b21\u306e\u611f\u5ea6\u304c\u30bc\u30ed\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3088\u3046\u6570\u5b66\u7684\u306b\u8a2d\u8a08\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u8a00\u3044\u63db\u3048\u308b\u3068\u3001<strong>\u30cc\u30fc\u30b5\u30f3\u30b9\u95a2\u6570\uff08\uff1d\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u304c\u76f4\u63a5\u8208\u5473\u3092\u6301\u3063\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3001\u80cc\u666f\u8981\u56e0\u307e\u308f\u308a\u306e\u95a2\u6570\uff09\u304c\u591a\u5c11\u9593\u9055\u3063\u3066\u3044\u3066\u3082\u3001\u6c42\u3081\u305f\u3044\u56e0\u679c\u52b9\u679c\u306e\u63a8\u5b9a\u5024\u304c\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u63fa\u3089\u304e\u307e\u305b\u3093<\/strong>\u3002\u3053\u308c\u3092 <strong>Neyman\u76f4\u4ea4\u6027<\/strong> \u3068\u547c\u3073\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6a5f\u68b0\u5b66\u7fd2\u306e\u5f37\u70c8\u306a\u8868\u73fe\u529b\u3092\u30d5\u30eb\u6d3b\u7528\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3001\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u7684\u306a\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\u3064\u304d\u306e\u56e0\u679c\u52b9\u679c\u3092\u53d6\u308a\u51fa\u305b\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u4ed5\u7d44\u307f\u306e\u304a\u304b\u3052\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u76f8\u95a2\u3092\u4e26\u3079\u308b\u30c0\u30c3\u30b7\u30e5\u30dc\u30fc\u30c9\u304b\u3089\u3001\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306e\u5206\u6790\u3078<\/h3>\n<p>\u96c6\u8a08\u306e\u4ed5\u65b9\u3072\u3068\u3064\u3067\u3001\u4f1a\u8b70\u5ba4\u306e\u7d50\u8ad6\u306f\u3053\u3053\u307e\u3067\u5909\u308f\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-group has-background\" style=\"background-color: #f4f6f8; padding: 24px; border-left: 4px solid #0051a8; margin: 20px 0;\">\n<h4 style=\"margin-top: 0;\">\u3010\u6700\u7d42\u63a8\u5b9a\u7d50\u679c\u3011<\/h4>\n<p><strong>\u96e8\u306b\u3088\u308b\u9700\u8981\u30a4\u30f3\u30d1\u30af\u30c8\uff1a \u221270.1 \u53f0\uff0f\u6642\u9593<\/strong><br \/>\n<small><em>\uff0895%\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593: \u221275.1 \u301c \u221265.1 \uff0f \u5e73\u5e38\u6642\u9700\u8981 189.5\u53f0\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066 \u221237%\uff09<\/em><\/small><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u5358\u7d14\u306a\u5e73\u5747\u5dee <strong>\u221284.9\u53f0<\/strong> \u306f\u3001\u5bd2\u3055\u3084\u591c\u9593\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u307e\u3067\u5dfb\u304d\u8fbc\u3093\u3060\u904e\u5927\u8a55\u4fa1\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u5168\u90e8\u5165\u308c\u305f\u91cd\u56de\u5e30 <strong>\u221230.4\u53f0<\/strong> \u306f\u3001\u6e7f\u5ea6\u306b\u52b9\u679c\u3092\u596a\u308f\u308c\u305f\u904e\u5c0f\u8a55\u4fa1\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p>BI\u30c4\u30fc\u30eb\u3067\u58f2\u4e0a\u3068\u4f55\u304b\u306e\u300c\u76f8\u95a2\u300d\u3092\u53ef\u8996\u5316\u3057\u3066\u6e80\u8db3\u3059\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30d3\u30b8\u30cd\u30b9\u306e\u5224\u65ad\u3092\u8aa4\u3089\u305b\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4e8b\u696d\u304c\u672c\u5f53\u306b\u77e5\u308a\u305f\u3044\u306e\u306f\u3001\u300c\u3053\u306e\u4e8b\u8c61\u304c\u8d77\u304d\u305f\u3089\u3001\u3042\u308b\u3044\u306f\u3053\u306e\u65bd\u7b56\u3092\u6253\u3063\u305f\u3089\u3001\u58f2\u4e0a\u304c\u7d14\u5897\u30fb\u7d14\u6e1b\u3059\u308b\u30a4\u30f3\u30d1\u30af\u30c8\u306f\u3044\u304f\u3089\u304b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u56e0\u679c\u306e\u7b54\u3048\u3060\u304b\u3089\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u306e\u306f\u3001\u5fc5\u305a\u3057\u3082\u9b54\u6cd5\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u8d85\u9ad8\u96e3\u5ea6\u30a2\u30eb\u30b4\u30ea\u30ba\u30e0\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u624b\u5143\u306b\u3042\u308b\u30ab\u30e9\u30e0\u3092\u7121\u90aa\u6c17\u306b\u5168\u90e8 <code>SELECT<\/code> \u3059\u308b\u306e\u3092\u3084\u3081\u3001<strong>\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u80cc\u5f8c\u306b\u3042\u308b\u300c\u56e0\u679c\u306e\u77e2\u5370\u300d\u3092\u4e01\u5be7\u306b\u60f3\u50cf\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Python\u306e <code>doubleml<\/code> \u3068 <code>interpret<\/code> \u3092\u4f7f\u3048\u3070\u3001\u3053\u3053\u307e\u3067\u306e\u63a8\u5b9a\u306f\u307b\u3093\u306e\u6570\u884c\u306e\u30b3\u30fc\u30c9\u3067\u518d\u73fe\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002SQL\u3068\u30c0\u30c3\u30b7\u30e5\u30dc\u30fc\u30c9\u3092\u4e00\u901a\u308a\u4f5c\u308c\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u5206\u6790\u8005\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u3001\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u8ad6\u306f\u300c\u81ea\u5206\u306e\u5206\u6790\u3067\u4e8b\u696d\u306e\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3092\u6b63\u3057\u304f\u5c0e\u304f\u300d\u305f\u3081\u306e\u3001\u6700\u9ad8\u306b\u523a\u6fc0\u7684\u306a\u6b21\u306e\u4e00\u6b69\u306b\u306a\u308b\u30cf\u30ba\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u30c9\u30ea\u30d6\u30f3\/AI-native\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u76f8\u8ac7\u306fAX\u7814\u7a76\u5ba4\u307e\u3067\u3054\u9023\u7d61\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-wide\">\n<h4>\u3053\u306e\u6295\u7a3f\u306e\u88dc\u8db3\u3068\u5206\u6790\u306e\u9650\u754c<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u672a\u89b3\u6e2c\u306e\u4ea4\u7d61\u306f\u6d88\u305b\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/strong> \u5927\u898f\u6a21\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8\u3001\u9053\u8def\u5de5\u4e8b\u3001\u7af6\u5408\u30b5\u30fc\u30d3\u30b9\u306e\u30d7\u30ed\u30e2\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306a\u3069\u3001\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u542b\u307e\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u8981\u56e0\u306b\u3088\u308b\u4ea4\u7d61\u306fDoubleML\u3067\u3082\u9664\u53bb\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306b\u5bfe\u51e6\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u81ea\u7136\u5b9f\u9a13\u3084\u64cd\u4f5c\u5909\u6570\u6cd5\u3001\u5dee\u5206\u306e\u5dee\u5206\u6cd5\uff08DID\uff09\u3068\u3044\u3063\u305f\u7814\u7a76\u30c7\u30b6\u30a4\u30f3\u306e\u8a2d\u8a08\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u96e8\u306e\u5f37\u3055\u3092\u533a\u5225\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/strong> \u4eca\u56de\u306f <code>weathersit &gt;= 3<\/code> \u3068\u3057\u3066\u5c0f\u96e8\u30fb\u672c\u964d\u308a\u30fb\u96ea\u3092\u540c\u4e00\u306e\u4ecb\u5165\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6271\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u5168\u4f53\u5e73\u5747\u52b9\u679c\uff08ATE\uff09\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/strong> \u300c\u3069\u306e\u6642\u9593\u5e2f\u3084\u5b63\u7bc0\u306b\u7279\u306b\u96e8\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u304c\u5927\u304d\u3044\u304b\u300d\u3092\u77e5\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u7570\u8cea\u52b9\u679c\uff08CATE\uff09\u306e\u63a8\u5b9a\u306b\u9032\u3080\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>2011\u301c2012\u5e74\u306e\u30ef\u30b7\u30f3\u30c8\u30f3D.C.\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066<\/h4>\n<p>\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u51fa\u5178\uff1aUCI Machine Learning Repository, Bike Sharing Dataset\uff08Fanaee-T &amp; Gama, 2013\uff09\u3002CC BY 4.0\u3002<\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u96e8\u5929\u6642\u306e\u58f2\u4e0a\u30a4\u30f3\u30d1\u30af\u30c8\u3092\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u63a8\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u6642\u306e\u7f60\u306fSELECT\u6587\u3060\u3063\u305f \u30aa\u30fc\u30d7\u30f3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\uff08UCI Bike Sharing, 17,379\u6642\u9593\uff09\u306e\u691c\u8a3c \u3053\u3093\u306b\u3061\u306f\uff01AX\u7814\u7a76\u5ba4\u306e\u5e84\u5185\u3067\u3059\u3002\u7a81\u7136\u3067\u3059\u304c\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb \u201d\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u7cbe\u5ea6\u306b\u3053\u3060\u308f\u3063 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":25527,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[524,525,529,530,527,522,528,523,526],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25521"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=25521"}],"version-history":[{"count":38,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25521\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25585,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25521\/revisions\/25585"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/25527"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=25521"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=25521"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecomottblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=25521"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}